USA – CH Charlottesville
30 Oct 2017 – 23:30
Tennys Sandgren – Reilly Opelka
Opelka to win 2.24 Pinnacle
5 units (5% Bankroll)
Reilly won this event last year. It was his first ever Challenger title. His game flourishes best indoors, naturally, given the air is thinner, allowing the ball to travel faster through it. The wind doesn’t get in the way of his ball toss and the indoor surface, this one, here, is around medium fastish in speed. We all know about his serve. 6’8. Bangs them down. Kicks them in. Ball bounces above your head at times. Way out of the strike-zone, even on second serve return. Crashes net for the easy volley whenever he can, admittedly not exactly Rafter up there, but he’s developing and the serve indoors makes the volley that much more elementary, that he shouldn’t be missing as many today.
Sandgren had an injury in his loss to McDonald back in Fairfield and it didn’t go away in Las Vegas, either His performance against Kozlov was utterly shambolic and he even conceded, after the Fairfield loss to McDonald that he was playing injured, on twitter. After being insulted by a degenerate gambler who had a bet on him. He later deleted that tweet. Well within literally 30 seconds. I caught it however and no it is not in my imagination, lols.
He is 96 in the world now, fractionally off his career high of 92 in the world a few weeks back. He doesn’t need to do much to ensure he automatically qualifies for the Australian Open. The cut off is 96 lol and he will easily make the qualifying as he picked up the majority of his ranking points from February onwards.
Sandgren only has Round of 16 points to defend here from last season and that’s 8 world ranking points
Opelka won the tournament and so has a significant total to defend. Some may argue with that comes pressure, but for me I believe he’ll be fine. Positive association. Feel good factor. He was solid in Las Vegas, narrowly losing out to Liam Broady, a lefty awkward hack.
Opelka to come through and get the W.