2017 US Open Final: Preview and Prediction – Anderson vs Nadal

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Note: This isn’t a typical match-preview I usually do and the reason for that is on this occasion I’d rather it be more aimed to the betting and trading community who are interested in the markets for this match. I will be a little more direct and less analytical. It’s not going to be structured or neat. This is fairly rushed and a VERY BRIEF and casual piece.

Nadal has never had the greatest return of serve, especially from the forehand side, with it’s semi-western grip, combined with the big swing and the need for loads of time to hit it. So Anderson being a consistently huge server, who is in great consistent rhythm with his serve, means he is certainly a danger to Nadal given the quite distinctly average return. Other than the fact it helps to make a big server play, there are a few less than obvious reasons why having a good return is so critical against them.

Guys with big, attacking first-strike game styles, aided by these lightening bolt serves (Such as your Karlovic, Isner, Raonic, Querrey, Rosol, Pospisil etc) are the biggest beneficiaries of ‘momentum’. The more aces and winners they hit, the more they begin ‘feel-good’ about their games, unlike counterpunchers, destiny happens to be in their own hands. They’re the one taking the initiative in the rally/point and they’re the one deciding on the tempo of the rally and the rhythm of their own game. Rather than being the one that reacts to the rhythm of their opponent and adjusts to what that player is doing.

Making more ‘meaningful returns’ in-court atleast inflicts potential pressure and/or doubt in the big servers’ mind. Weaker returners offer-up less pressure to a big servers’ clarity-of-thought. Serving is central to their game, their bread and butter, so the returner has to make them think.

maxresdefault 2

The major issue Anderson would have with the top dogs; Murray and Djokovic, is he has to work harder to win points on serve. Against other guys he can hold serve so easily that every-time they themselves are serving, it almost feels reminiscent of them doing so to stay in sets and matches. Considering Nadal doesn’t possess the most naturally good serve out-there, you can visualise how going down 0-15 or 0-30 in a service game, particularly in a Grandslam final, may be rather mentally challenging for him in this match-up. It really is continuous pressure.

 

 

Prediction:

1412352988 768231 1412353123 noticia grande

With all that said; unfortunately for tennis I do believe the dreary Nadull will just about still manage to win this one. The margin for error on this prediction being if Anderson does get himself in a position to finally win the match, the prospect and life changing moment of winning a Major Grandslam title may just make him fall out of being in that unconscious process of playing his game the way he needs to.

Rafael Nadal in 5 sets

Straight betting (No trading here for me) perspective:

Three choice of bets and I am playing all of them: (Just for good measure)

Over 35.5 games at 1.98 (There to be ATLEAST 36 games competed in match)

Over 3.5 sets at 2.08 (Self explanatory)

+2.5 sets Anderson at 2.04 (For Anderson to win ATLEAST one set in the match)

91729dd676a942e707331ce197bda268?s=117&d=mm&r=g
MasteringTennis
Former British University player, now working as a Tennis Trader on the Betfair Trading Exchange, making pre-assessment of matches played on the pro tour. I do this is by weighing up how the players strengths and weaknesses match-up against the other. With this I also incooperate factors such as preparation for event, state of fitness/health, morale/momentum, humidity/wind etc. All these factors enable me to arrive at a gut feeling summary for who I believe will walk away with the W against their name. Tennis is the most psychological sport in the world alongside Golf and Boxing, so while analysing the match-up is prevalent, its importance should also be weighed in accordingly with how capable the player(s) are at performing on the crux moments.
Subscribe
Notify of
guest
0 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

IPL: Mumbai Indians Lose Season Opener

Mumbai Indians lost an Indian Premier League (IPL) opener for the 8th successive year following a 5-wicket loss to Chennai Super Kings. Having lost the first game of the season in the last 7 years, Mumbai might have thought this was their time, as they were on a 5-game winning run against CSK. However, ex Mumbai Indians player Ambati Rayudu and South African superstars Faf du Plessis and Lungi Ngidi ensured that it didn’t...

When Did Formula One Begin?

If you ask virtually anyone the world over a simple question – “What is Formula One” they will probably get the answer correct.  It’s a car race!  Even though that might be a very simple reply (a better answer would be it’s the highest class of international single-seater auto-racing!) there is another question that will probably stump them.  That question is “When did Formula One begin?”. In order to answer the question properly we need...

Stanley Cup Finals: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars

After nearly two months of play in the hub cities of Toronto and Edmonton, one more team, either the Tampa Bay Lightning or the Dallas Stars will have their bubble burst as the other emerges as the 2020 Stanley Cup Finals champions. The Stars won two games against the Lightning in the regular season, each in overtime (4-3 on December 19; 3-2 on January 27) The Lightning representing the Eastern Conference made it to the...

The Cleveland Browns Are Looking Up

The Cleveland Browns have a team that had a ton of questions this year. They came into the game against the Bengals unsure of how they were going to get their offense going. While the Bengals aren't at all a good defense, it's still hard to play those divisional games and win. The AFC North is known for brutally cold weather that makes it nearly impossible to stay sharp, yet they were sharp offensively....

The Case For Rocky Marciano

You wouldn't think, not even for a second, that you would have to defend a world champion boxer who retired with an unblemished record of 49-0 (43 KO's), but if it's Rocky Marciano we're talking about then yep, he needs to be defended. It's ridiculous, but true. Marciano seems to have as many naysayers as he does fans. "He was too small", "He never fought anybody in their prime", "He'd get killed today"; etc....

Fantasy Basketball: The Best Draft Pick Techniques You Should Know

Image Source Fantasy Basketball gives everyone the anticipation that keeps you up at night just to draft the ultimate fantasy basketball line-up. Your ultimate goal is to dominate any opponent all season. Sadly, not everyone has the skills and experience to win. Remember that if you are considering joining a fantasy basketball league, you need to consider some factors. Successful players and experts choose more than their favorite team or a player's value. Even if you...

2020 NBA Western Conference Finals: A Victor Emerges

The Los Angeles Lakers and the Denver Nuggets will meet for the second time in the NBA Western Conference Finals. The Lakers managed to breeze through Portland and Houston in the first two rounds, while Denver has proven themselves to be true underdogs, coming back from a 3-1 deficit against Utah and the L.A. Clippers. Will the Lakers blow past the Nuggets, or will Denver pull off another unimaginable moment in the playoffs?   Point Guard:...

Why Did the Clippers Fail in the NBA Playoffs?

Lets make one thing clear; the Nuggets won that series because they were a better team than the Clippers. They outplayed the Clippers in the NBA playoffs, plain and simple. Yes the Clippers did underperform, it was due to the Nuggets were elite. They were one of the hottest teams in the bubble and they've gotten it done. Jamal Murray has developed into an elite scorer, the Joker has kept up his elite play, and...

Leinster VS Ulster: Pro 14 Champions Final 2020

The annual Pro 14 tournament was wrapped up as the final whistle blew at The Aviva Stadium in Dublin this past weekend. Leinster reigned in as the Pro 14 Champions 2020 against an enthusiastic Ulster team, winning 27-5, to become the first side ever to win three consecutive Pro 14 titles. The Dublin side held their remarkable reputation as the most successful provincial Irish rugby sides following their victory on Saturday, and have once again...

Premier League Opening Week Wrap Up: Rodriguez, Leeds impress; Vardy picks up from last season

A thrilling opening weekend clash between defending champions Liverpool and the newly promoted side Leeds United reminded the world what it was missing as the coronavirus disappointment continued all across the globe. Packed inside the house due to safety concerns, the return of Premier League after 47 days brought huge cheers to the face of the fans. It was not just the return of the league, but the manner in which it returned, that had...

Social Connect

1,183FansLike
3,700FollowersFollow

Trending Now

When Did Formula One Begin?

If you ask virtually anyone the world over a simple question – “What is Formula One” they will probably get the answer correct.  It’s...
Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!
0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x